ENERGY SYSTEM MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM SUSTAINABLE ENERGY ALTERNATIVES FOR PAKISTAN

Mukhtar, Hussain Sahir (2007) ENERGY SYSTEM MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM SUSTAINABLE ENERGY ALTERNATIVES FOR PAKISTAN. Doctoral thesis, University of Engineering and Technology.

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Abstract

The thesis aims to explore the feasibility of using energy models as planning tools for national energy policy in Pakistan and, to analyze future energy scenarios for the country in the context of the energy security and sustainability concerns. Complexities of the present day national energy systems and the emerging trends of departure from the traditional planning practices have been reviewed with examples of important classes of energy models developed/used in the contemporary world. Also three popular energy modeling tools; developed through multinational initiatives, have been compared and based on that two of these have been recommended for adoption in Pakistan. Major contributions of the author include the identification of a roadmap for the development of an indigenous national energy model; via design of a pilot national energy supply-demand system model in IEP model format, analysis of the scenarios presented by the past trends and the future energy sector targets envisaged in the published government plans and, finally, the analyses of the country's long term energy options in the context of contemporary issues and perceived constraints of energy security and sustainability. The thesis concludes that long term sustainable energy supplies for Pakistan can be ensured by effective policy instruments, based on realistic planning backed by quantitative analysis; for which energy models are the best option and, the rational strategies to precisely understand and wisely overcome the practical barriers due to the regional and global geopolitical scenarios and the domestic governance practices.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Uncontrolled Keywords: energy system modeling, energy alternatives, national energy policy, national energy systems, final energy supply-consumption model, sustainable energy alternatives
Subjects: T Technology > TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
Depositing User: Muhammad Khan Khan
Date Deposited: 07 Nov 2016 08:54
Last Modified: 07 Nov 2016 08:54
URI: http://eprints.hec.gov.pk/id/eprint/3155

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